On the other hand, a card that has been confirmed that it will never be printed again will go up in price, such cards like Black Lotus or Bayou. This is because there are now more of the card.Įven if it is still a valuable card, there are more of it, and thus it is Reprints: When a card is reprinted, no matter how good it is, it will go down in value. This drop however is not sudden, and is usually over the course of the end of the lifespan of the sets. That being said, if a card is only seeing play in Standard and Standard alone, then the Three Rs are pointless, and the card will probably drop when it leaves (but if that is the case, the card is probably not a great card). So unless something impacts it greatly (like one of the Three Rs) it will not drop in price. This is because a great card in standard can be used across multiple formats, and thus has a cross format value. It is very similar to the stock market, for predicting both upwards and downwards price spikes. Remember however, that predicting when these can happen is very hard to do. If you are looking to buy a card at a drop, try and look for one of the Three Rs. Though, there are some things that DO cause card prices to drop. When a card is great, and used across many formats, there is no reason for someone to reduce the card's price when they sell it. TLDR: Great cards do not significantly drop in price when they rotate out of standard, as great cards are usually playable and viable in other formats. Also I'm interested in prices for paper, not online. "Here's the historical data but Guilds of Ravnica will be different because xyz" is not an answer. I do not want any speculation about future prices. If there is often a price drop, knowing about when it happened (release day, a week prior, a month later?) would also be helpful. A good answer would consider a representative sample of cards that were popular during their Standard season and show how their prices behaved after, especially if those cards continued to be popular in Commander. That's why I'm looking for your expert opinions here. I've tried to research this on various sites that show price histories, but I don't know enough about Magic's recent history to separate the signal from the noise. I'm curious if this can be seen looking at historical price data. I would expect that players who focus on formats like Standard and Brawl might decide to get rid of those cards when the new sets come out, leading to a price drop. Many of these cards appear to be at their lowest prices in years, even if they are still considered to be “expensive.I'm looking to build a Commander deck with a number of cards from Kaladesh through Hour of Devastation, which are still Standard legal as of this writing but will drop out soon. Interestingly, Oko, Thief of Crowns is the least expensive of the lot at $13, and Dockside Extortionist is the most expensive at $65. However, four of the other cards only have one printing, although two of these cards are in current Standard sets. Most of these cards have been reprinted at least once, and many of those reprints have occurred within the past few years, including four in 2X2 and the enemy fetchlands in MH2. Using MTG Goldfish’s own “Price a deck” tool, you can see that current best prices for a single copy of each card are $688 via CK and $600 via TCG Player. Ĭyclonic Rift, The Meathook Massacre, Sea Gate Restoration, Vampiric Tutor, Demonic Tutor, Teferi's Protection, Toxic Deluge, Oko, Thief of Crowns, Fetchlands (details in footnote for those who aren’t familiar), Dockside Extortionist, Mana Drain, Esper Sentinel, Smothering Tithe Today, the Commander Clash crew on MTG Goldfish posted a video/podcast describing roughly two dozen expensive Commander staples that are worth buying.
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